MM Theme Viewpoint
Matthew Snodgrass Updated
Chart(s) of the Week: Gold (Shifted Forward 20 months) Vs. WTI Near-Month Futures
The below chart illustrates a correlation is one we picked up from Tom McCelland and it illustrates that gold has historically been a leading indicator for oil prices. If the relationship holds, where gold goes today, oil should follow in roughly 20 months which suggests oil prices are going higher as gold in the chart below is almost US$3,000/oz below its January high. Obviously we cannot ignore the US-Iran War, correlations and statistics have their limitations but volatility aside the implication is oil will remain well supported into next Christmas.